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February 13, 2026, promises a thrilling night for college basketball fans, with two marquee matchups featuring top-25 teams that are bound to keep us on the edge of our seats. From the Big Ten showdown to a Midwest clash, let's dive into what makes these games must-watch events.
The Michigan State Spartans, ranked #12, head to Madison to face the Wisconsin Badgers in a classic Big Ten clash. This matchup is set to be a nail-biter, with our simulation model giving the Spartans a slight edge, predicting a 78.2 to 75.4 victory for Michigan State with a 53% win probability.
The Spartans are driven by the dynamic duo of Jeremy Fears Jr. and Jaxon Kohler. Fears Jr. is expected to lead from the backcourt with 15.3 points and 6.1 assists per game, while Kohler anchors the paint with a near double-double average of 12.5 points and 9.8 rebounds. On the other hand, Wisconsin’s Nick Boyd is a sharpshooter to watch, projected to score 17.9 points, complemented by John Blackwell’s all-around game that includes 15.2 points and 4.5 rebounds.
With the Vegas spread at just 1.5 points and an over/under of 145.5, this game promises to be a tight contest that could go down to the final possession. Will the Spartans maintain their ranking and momentum, or will the Badgers protect their home court with an upset? Only the final buzzer will tell.
Meanwhile, the Saint Louis Billikens travel to face the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers in a matchup where the visitors are heavily favored. Ranked #23, Saint Louis is expected to secure a comfortable victory with an 84.0 to 66.1 predicted score, backed by a strong 72% win probability.
Robbie Avila stands out for the Billikens, projected to contribute 13.4 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 3.5 assists. His versatility will be crucial against a Loyola-Chicago team that hasn’t had the best season. Despite the odds, Justin Moore from Loyola-Chicago will look to make an impact with his projected 9 points and 2.3 assists, hoping to fuel an underdog story at home.
The Vegas line gives Saint Louis an 18.5 point spread, with a game total over/under of 155.5 points, suggesting a high-scoring affair. The Billikens will aim to assert their dominance early, but will the Ramblers rise to the occasion and challenge the odds?
For those looking to dive deeper into the numbers, detailed projected player stats for all games are available exclusively to GameSim+ subscribers. Check out GameSim+ to learn more and elevate your game day experience.
As the season progresses, these games could significantly impact standings and tournament seedings, making each possession crucial. Tune in to see which teams emerge victorious from these exciting contests.
