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As we inch closer to the midpoint of the MLB season, the stakes are higher than ever. On July 7, 2026, two marquee matchups promise to deliver fireworks and potential playoff previews. Let's dive into the New York Yankees battling the Tampa Bay Rays, and a doubleheader featuring the Milwaukee Brewers squaring off against the St. Louis Cardinals.
The rivalry between the New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays needs no introduction. With just a few games separating them in the standings, this matchup could be critical in shaping the AL East race. The Yankees come in with a 50-40 record, while the Rays are slightly ahead at 52-36.
Our simulation model gives the Rays a slight edge with a 54% win probability, predicting a final score of 4.5 to 3.7 in favor of Tampa Bay. On the mound, the Yankees' Will Warren is expected to deliver a solid 5.7 innings with 5.8 strikeouts and a 3.40 ERA, but he'll need to be sharp against a potent Rays lineup. Tampa Bay's bullpen, featuring Griffin Jax, Ian Seymour, and the reliable Kevin Kelly, will look to stifle any late Yankees rally attempts.
Meanwhile, in the National League, the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals are set for a doubleheader that has all the makings of a classic. The Brewers, leading their division with a 56-33 record, face a Cardinals squad at 47-41, eager to close the gap.
The first game of the doubleheader sees Milwaukee favored with a 52% win probability, with Jacob Misiorowski projected to pitch 6.2 innings and rack up 6.7 strikeouts. For the Cardinals, Hunter Dobbins will need to counter with his own strong outing, projected at 5.6 innings and 5.6 strikeouts. The Brewers' offense will look to stars like Jake Bauers, who’s projected for a .364 average with 1.3 RBIs, to provide the firepower needed.
As if one game weren't enough, the Brewers and Cardinals will meet again, and this time, it's the Cardinals who are favored, albeit by the slimmest of margins with a 51% win probability. Michael McGreevy will be key for St. Louis, projected to pitch 5.8 innings with a 5.70 ERA. Meanwhile, the Brewers will rely on Robert Gasser to keep the Cardinals' bats at bay.
It’s all about who can capitalize on their opportunities, and these games might very well come down to which bullpen can hold firm. With just a hair's breadth between predictions, fans and bettors alike should brace for a rollercoaster ride.
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